2017-04-15 15:28:01 UTC
U.S. underestimated the commitments from China and the Soviet to N. Vietnam and
VC/NVA strength in 1965 and lost the war. By 1968, NVAs almost overran Khe Sanh. Had U.S. troops stayed there, Giap will have his 100,000 troops captured the 2500 U.S. Marines in Khe Sanh. Ho Chi Minh once said to Stanley Karnow that he is willing to have 10 men died to kill one American, and Kim Song Il would say the same. When U.S. casualties passed 10,000, U.S. congress, liberals, and students will help pass the law to terminate military budget in Korea.
When the U.S. does not follow the rules of war by Sun Tze and it can not win. In war, when the enemy is strong, you seek peace. When the enemy is week, you break the peace treaty and destroy them to win. Like stock market, you buy low and sell high, don't buy high and sell low. In war, fight when enemy is weak, and peace when enemy is strong.
N. Vietnam signed the Paris peace accord in 1973, then when South Vietnam was weakened by military aids cut, they broke the treaty, made the kill and won the war.
When Vietnam and N Korea was weakened by the collapse of the Warsaw pact in 1992, the U.S. refused to break the peace treaties in order to win the war. When China invaded Vietnam, the U.S. refused to join China to win the Vietnam war. It did the reverse by threatening China in South China sea. U.S. government does not know how to fight war and should never be allowed to go to war except to defend invasion to its 50 states.
Today N. Korea is too strong for the U.S. to win. It is not wise to fight against N. Korea when Russia is angry because of the Syrian bombing. Russia said that it will attack the U.S. if the U.S. attacked its allies. Attacking N. Korea will be too risky. Trump is not popular and he now has too many enemy in both Dem and Republican parties. If U.S. casualties become high, U.S. congress would impeach Trump and put him in prison.